Strength
Strength
|
62 19 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
654 -197 Strength Momentum |
884 34.9(64) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/27/15 | Tierra Encantada | 0.000 | 588 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+5) | 915 | 63% | |
| 08/31/15 | at Questa | 0.001 | 459 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 616 | 75% | |
| 09/04/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.001 | 1003 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 618 | 9% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Pojoaque ! | 0.003 | 848 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 811 | 19% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Portales | 0.004 | 936 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 604 | 11% | |
| 09/14/15 | Questa | 0.007 | 459 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 748 | 79% | |
| 09/16/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.013 | 904 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 688 | 14% | |
| 09/19/15 | Hatch | 0.017 | 1052 | L 1- 4 | Expected (+1) | 693 | 7% | |
| 09/21/15 | Robertson !! | 0.031 | 872 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 803 | 22% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.015 | 1111 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 536 | 4% | |
| 09/28/15 | Monte del Sol ?? | 0.038 | 844 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 487 | 23% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Hatch | 0.082 | 1052 | L 0- 4 | Expected (0) | 662 | 6% | |
| 10/09/15 | St. Michael's | 0.198 | 904 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 619 | 17% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Bernalillo ? | 0.306 | 884 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-2) | 578 | 15% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.466 | 844 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 659 | 19% | |
| 10/19/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.420 | 1111 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 722 | 5% | |
| 10/23/15 | Pojoaque | 0.606 | 848 | L 2- 4 | Expected (0) | 641 | 24% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Desert Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 884, while
Desert Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 650
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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